Consumer Sentiment Ticks Up To 51.0 In November
The Michigan index beat forecasts and hit its best level since August — while 57 percent of consumers said high prices have eroded their living standards, the most since May.
Less miserable isn't the same as fine.
Consumer sentiment rose to 51.0 in early November, beating forecasts for no change — and the survey still reads like a complaint about prices. [Consumer sentiment: what it is and why it matters — NerdWallet] [Consumer sentiment rose to 51.0 in November — US Real Estate Investor]
The University of Michigan's preliminary index rose from 48.0 in October, with current conditions up to 51.0 and expectations to 50.9. Year-ahead inflation expectations eased to 4.3 percent — yet 57 percent of consumers said high prices have eroded their living standards, the most since May. [Consumer sentiment: what it is and why it matters — NerdWallet] [Consumer sentiment rose to 51.0 in November — US Real Estate Investor] [Prices still weigh on shoppers — Workers Rights News]
The gains aren't evenly shared. Director Joanne Hsu traced the improvement to independents and to lower- and middle-wealth households, while sentiment among the largest stock-portfolio holders fell 5 percent — and interviewers started hearing a new worry by name: an AI bubble. [Consumer sentiment rose to 51.0 in November — US Real Estate Investor]
Long-run inflation expectations eased to 3.4 percent from 3.5, their calmest in months, and the New York Fed's October survey, released November 9, rhymes with the mood: inflation expectations unchanged there, but concern about unemployment rising. [Consumer sentiment: what it is and why it matters — NerdWallet]
Read the dates before the headline. Michigan's interviews ran October 20 to November 2 — before the midterm elections, before the October jobs report landed on November 6 with 165,000 new jobs, and before this week's market turbulence. The index is also flat against November 2025 and still 10 percent below February. [Consumer sentiment rose to 51.0 in November — US Real Estate Investor]
The final November reading arrives November 20, and it'll be the first one that knows who won the election and how the markets took it. The preliminary says households feel slightly less squeezed. It doesn't say they feel fine.
The conversation.
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A little more perspective.
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